Friday, August 24, 2007

Krispy Kreme posts loss

KKD posted a net loss of $27M for the quarter ending 7/29/2007. That comes on the heels of loss of $7.4M and $24.4 in the prior two quarters.

Countrywide

Some interesting discussion on the MarketBeat blog (emphasis mine).

Investors jumped for joy on news of Countrywide Financial’s $2 billion gift, er, investment from Bank of America, which got a nice deal by investing in convertible preferred shares, and gets the platitudes for putting down money to help assuage those worried about the going health of one of the nation’s biggest mortgage lenders. Bank of America gets a $2 billion stake that pays them 7.25% annually in interest, and converts to shares at $18 each.

Rob Cox of Breakingviews.com notes: “If Countrywide’s recent woes are primarily liquidity driven — that is, they are simply a consequence of the bank’s inability to fund itself – then BofA boss Ken Lewis’ investment will prove masterful.” But Doug Kass of Seabreeze Partners Management, who is shorting Countrywide, notes that “the discounted strike price of its non-voting preferred security speaks volumes about Bank of America’s financial and operating concerns facing Countrywide Financial.” After all, the housing shakeout isn’t over, and Countrywide holds nearly $30 billion of option ARM mortgages, where defaults are rising, according to Breakingviews.

John Succo, in Minyanville, agrees, saying the terms of the deal were “struck at egregious terms for CFC,” and it will dilute earnings. It’s hard to know whether to take comfort from CEO Angelo Mozilo’s interview on CNBC, either — within the span of a few minutes he’s blamed the current problems on the Federal Reserve, frightened investors, and worried sell-side analysts (Merrill Lynch in particular). “The problem at Countrywide Financial is that it originated crappy loans — thats how it got into the problem in the first place,” Mr. Kass writes in an email.


Note that Countrywide common shares have fallen 38% in one month, from $34 to $21.

Tuesday, August 07, 2007

Blackstone Down To $24.90

It is now down an amazing 29% from its IPO price.

Wells Fargo Jumbo Rate Jumps to 8%

Wells Fargo, one of the nation's biggest mortgage lenders, raised the interest rates on it 30-year, fixed-rate, non-conforming (AKA jumbo) loan to 8 percent last week, up from 6.875 percent. Other lenders are likely to join Wells Fargo.

The reason is apparently the collapse of the secondary mortgage market.

HomeBanc exiting the mortgage business

HomeBanc today announced that it intends to exit the mortgage loan origination business. The Company at present is unable to borrow on its credit facilities and was unable to fund its mortgage loan funding obligations. Accordingly, the Company does not anticipate funding any future mortgage loans and is no longer accepting any mortgage loan applications or funding any mortgage loans previously originated and not yet funded. The Company is seeking the most appropriate course of action to preserve the value of its remaining assets. Kevin Race, HomeBanc's President and CEO, stated, "In light of the extraordinary difficulties that HomeBanc continues to face in the mortgage loan origination market, we feel that it is in the best interests of the Company to exit this business so that we can focus on preserving the value of our investment portfolio assets and loan servicing operations."

HomeBanc also announced that it has reached agreement with Countrywide Financial Corporation whereby Countrywide will acquire certain assets related to HomeBanc's retail loan origination operations, including up to five branches located in Georgia, Florida and North Carolina, and will assume the leases related to those branches. In addition, Countrywide expects to make offers of employment to substantially all of HomeBanc's retail loan originators. Countrywide will pay no cash premium in this transaction and will not acquire any other assets or assume any other liabilities related to HomeBanc. This transaction, which is subject to certain conditions, is expected to close by Friday.

There's that phrase again.

Also, I found this really good website which tracks the mortgage lenders that have imploded recently (112 in the last 15 months). I see tough times ahead for the real estate market.

Monday, June 25, 2007

Blackstone Down 7.5%

Shares of Blackstone Group fell in their second day of trading as doubts set in about the valuation of the private equity firm. Blackstone shares were down 7.5% to $32.44 on the NYSE.

It could be that Friday was the high point of the market for the foreseeable future. A lot of smart people are wondering about that when the smart money (i.e., Blackstone) starts selling.

Bear Stearns Bails Out Hedge Fund

Bear Stearns said it would provide up to $3.2 billion in financing for a struggling hedge fund it manages, raising concern about other funds that invested in bonds linked to subprime mortgages. The biggest bailout since Wall Street's 1998 rescue of Long-Term Capital Management signaled that the funds' main investments -- a type of bond known as a collateralized debt obligation (CDO) -- may be riskier than previously reckoned. Bear Stearns, the fifth-largest U.S. investment bank, said it would provide secured financing to its High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Fund so the fund can sell assets in an orderly fashion. Bear also said a second fund (High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund) that took greater risk is still working out a restructuring plan with creditors. The two funds melted down after rising U.S. subprime mortgage defaults earlier this year depressed prices of CDOs, which were essentially repackaged portfolios of subprime home loans and were among the funds' main investments. Bear Stearns' High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Fund was down about 5% so far this year through the end of April. The High-Grade Structured Credit Strategies Enhanced Leverage Fund, meanwhile, which borrowed more to magnify potential returns and potential risk, was down 23% over the same period.

Another story that provides more of the numbers and paints a much clearer -- and much bleaker -- picture than above...

Merrill Lynch seized $850 million of bonds held as collateral for loans it had made to the funds. Lehman Brothers, JPMorgan Chase and Cantor Fitzgerald also pulled out, leaving Bear Stearns to sort through the wreckage of bad bets on subprime mortgage bonds and collateralized debt obligations. Without assistance from his Wall Street peers, Bear Stearns was forced to salvage the healthier of the two funds, putting $3.2 billion of the firm's capital at risk in the biggest bailout since LTCM. Bear Stearns may dissolve the second fund after more than $600 million of investors' money dwindled to less than $200 million.