Wednesday, November 14, 2007
Money Market Issues
The crisis in subprime mortgages has jolted the market for the short-term securities in which money funds invest. Bank of America's move is a sign of how the crisis has gone beyond complex institutional portfolios to potentially affect everyday savers. The bank said $300 million will be used by a group of its money funds that are offered to individuals. The other $300 million will support an institutional cash fund, which isn't technically a money fund. The money would help keep the funds' share price at $1 if some of their holdings defaulted.
Several other financial institutions have also bolstered their money funds:
• SEI, an institutional money manager, has set aside $129 million to support two of its money funds.
• Legg Mason has set up a $238 million line of credit for two money funds. It also invested $100 million to buoy an offshore money fund.
• SunTrust Bank has received SEC permission to set up credit lines for two money funds.
What's tripped up many funds are investments in Structured Investment Vehicles. SIVs use short-term loans to buy longer-term assets, such as mortgage-backed securities, that pay higher rates. The SIVs with the worst problems were often invested in subprime mortgages. As a result, some SIVs have stuck money funds with losses.
Money funds fear that if any fund "broke the buck," falling below $1 a share, investors would flee. That's why they're moving fast to try to avoid defaults.
The USA Today article does not mention (online, the print version does) that the only time in history when a money fund has broken the buck was Community Bankers U.S. Government Fund, a small institutional fund run by Community Bankers Mutual Fund in Denver, which liquidated in 1994 because of losses on interest-rate derivatives. The fund, which had more than 27% of its assets in the derivatives, paid investors 96 cents on the dollar.
The reason the fund lost money despite US Government in its name explains the problems that it (and a lot of other funds in that period) got into trouble in the first place. While US Treasuries are of course guaranteed by the US government with regards to both principal and interest, derivatives based on them such as Interest-Only bonds (IOs) or Principal-Only bonds (POs) can rise or drop in price because of movements in interest rates. That caused losses at many money funds although only Community Bankers actually broke the buck. Money funds had no business investing in IOs and POs in the first place.
Tuesday, November 13, 2007
Monday, November 05, 2007
Citigroup Woes
(ETA: Note that this writedown is in addition to the $6.5 billion writedown already taken for the third quarter.)
And another CEO goes down...
Citigroup says its chairman and CEO, Charles Prince, has retired and is being replaced as chairman by former Treasury Secretary Robert Rubin. Citigroup also said Sir Win Bischoff, chairman of Citi Europe and a Member of the Citi management and operating committees, would serve as interim CEO.
And one last (mostly symbolic) piece of news...
Bank of America is now the largest bank in the country by market capitalization, and it may stay that way for a while. After weeks of flip-flopping with Citigroup for market-cap supremacy - with the financial rivals no more than $3 billion apart at various points - Bank of America surged ahead on the heels of Citigroup's implosion. Bank of America's total market value was $197B while Citigroup was at $179B.
Saturday, November 03, 2007
Bring on the lawyers!
Law Offices of Brian Felgoise Announces Class Action Lawsuit Against Merrill Lynch
Abraham Fruchter & Twersky LLP Files Class Action Lawsuit Against Merrill Lynch
Coughlin Stoia Geller Rudman & Robbins LLP Files Class Action Suit against Merrill Lynch
And just for good measure an ERISA lawsuit against the 401(k) plan...
Keller Rohrback L.L.P. Announces ERISA Investigation of the Merrill Lynch 401(k) Savings and Investment Plan
Citigroup CEO on way out
People familiar with the matter said the Securities and Exchange Commission is looking into the bank's accounting for its off-balance sheet investment funds that have recently attracted scrutiny. Citigroup may report further losses on Monday, reflecting continued declines in the value of some mortgage-linked securities since the third quarter ended Sept. 30, people familiar with the matter said.
Tuesday, October 30, 2007
O'Neal out
The board of directors has elected Alberto Cribiore as interim non-executive chairman. Ahmass Fakahany and Gregory Fleming will continue as Merrill Lynch co-presidents and chief operating officers.
Saturday, October 27, 2007
Countrywide
There's two aspects of the story on which I'd like to comment...
Countrywide said it would refinance about $10 billion in loans and modify another $4 billion. It also plans to contact borrowers of some $2.2 billion who are late on their loans and having trouble paying because of a recent rate reset. In total Countrywide's plan would reach out to about 82,000 borrowers for some kind of relief. [...] The company estimates some 10,000 borrowers with subprime loans who are now behind on their payments due to their mortgage interest rate resetting will be offered rate reductions by the end of the year.
So if you did the right thing and did NOT overextend by taking on more mortgage than you could afford, Countrywide only has one thing to say to you: SUCKER!
So far this year, Countrywide has completed about 20,000 loan modifications -- a figure that represents less than 5% of the more than 500,000 loans the lender reports were behind in payments as of last month and about 24% of the roughly 82,000 loans the company said were in foreclosure as of September.
There's over 80,000 loans in foreclosure and another420,000 behind? That doesn't mean anything good for Countrywide.Friday, October 26, 2007
Thursday, October 25, 2007
Wednesday, October 24, 2007
Merrill Lynch Loss Wider Than Expected
Merrill Lynch said it was taking a sharper-than-expected writeoff of 7.9 billion dollars for losses in its mortgage activities in the third quarter. Merrill Lynch said the charge was "significantly greater" than the 4.5 billion dollars forecast earlier this month. The investment bank reported a third-quarter net loss from continuing operations of 2.24 billion dollars compared with a net profit of 2.14 billion dollars a year ago. The loss amounts to 2.85 dollars a share, far wide that that the Wall Street consensus forecast for a loss per share of 45 cents.
From TheStreet...
Merrill Lynch stunned Wall Street for the second time this month with the disclosure that it was forced into a $7.9 billion writedown of bad debt tied to risky mortgages and structured paper. The announcement comes three weeks after Merrill surprised investors by estimating that its third quarter would swing to a loss under the weight of $4.5 billion in writedowns on certain securities. Merrill said the writedown increased after the firm took a second look at its valuation of collateralized debt obligations and subprime mortgage backed securities.
Merrill's third-quarter report has to rank among the worst in modern Wall Street history. The firm swung to a loss of $2.24 billion, or $2.85 a share, from continuing operations from a year-ago profit of $3.05 billion, or $3.14 a share. The firm took a $5.9 billion loss on its in-house trading operation. said $6.9 billion of the third-quarter writedown was related to its CDO positions and $1 billion to its subprime holdings. The firm said its net exposure to those securities dropped from second-quarter levels, but it continues to have $15 billion worth of CDO exposure and nearly $6 billion worth of subprime exposure.
What I (and I'm sure others) want to know is how could the loss be SIX TIMES as large as expected just three weeks ago. What kind of risk management do the guys at Merrill Lynch have in place?
Tuesday, October 23, 2007
[Obsolete] Bear - Citic Swap
Edited (3/17/2008): Citic Securities has canceled this investment deal with Bear Stearns. "The situation has changed," said Citic Chairman Dan Kong, after Bear's buy-out yesterday by JPMorgan Chase.
Thursday, October 18, 2007
Friday, September 28, 2007
More Recalls
Another Chinese product in the United States is under scrutiny. Federal officials ordered a recall of 450,000 Chinese-made tires.
Imagine that. Offshoring production to China (or elsewhere) only results in savings if those other countries cut corners on the safety regulations that are required here in the US. Who could have imagined such a thing? It's not like Economics 101 would suggest that such a thing was likely.
Thursday, September 20, 2007
Investment Bank Results
Goldman Sachs earned $2.85 billion, or $6.13 a share, in the three months ended Aug. 31, compared to $1.59 billion, or $3.26 a share, in the third quarter a year ago. Net revenue rose 63% to $12.33 billion from $7.58 billion a year ago.
Bear Stearns reported net income of $171.3 million, or $1.16 a share, for the quarter ended Aug. 31, down from $437.6 million, or $3.02 a share, earned in the same period a year earlier. Net revenue declined 37% to $1.33 billion. Lehman Brothers and Morgan Stanley also reported a profit decline.
In trading (as of 2:40pm today), Lehman Brothers (LEH) is down around 3% and Morgan Stanley (MS) is down around 5%. Goldman Sachs and Bear Stearns are essentially flat. Bear Stearns' troubles had already been priced into its stock since its disastrous bailout of two hedge funds, but I am very surprised that GS has not spiked on the earnings surprise.
Wednesday, September 19, 2007
Top Ten International Accounting Firms
PricewaterhouseCoopers International, $25.2B
Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, $23.1B
Ernst & Young Global, $21.1B
KPMG International, $19.8B
BDO International, $4.7B
Grant Thornton International, $3.5B
RSM International, $3.1B
Praxity, $2.8B
Baker Tilly International, $2.5B
Horwath International, $2.5B
[Updated with 2007 numbers]
Top Ten US Accounting Firms
1 Deloitte & Touche $9,856,000,000
2 PricewaterhouseCoopers $6,922,000,000
3 Ernst & Young $6,890,000,000
4 KPMG $4,438,000,000
5 RSM McGladrey $1,389,260,000
6 Grant Thornton $939,551,000
7 BDO Seidman $589,000,000
8 CBIZ & Mayer $466,810,000
9 Crowe Group $430,276,000
10 BKD $318,078,000
http://www.wolterskluwer.com/WK/Press/Product+Press+Releases/2007/Sep/pr_19Sep07b.htm